Spatial models of rice fields change and sustainable agriculture in Solok District, West Sumatra Province
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15243/jdmlm.2023.111.4875Keywords:
agriculture, food carrying capacity, ISM, land conversion, policyAbstract
Indonesia is an agricultural country and one of the world's rice-producing countries. However, the increase in population has pushed for the conversion of agricultural land to non-agricultural purposes. Solok is a district with the largest paddy field area in West Sumatra. Yet, the increase in population has resulted in a decrease in paddy fields every year. This study aimed to determine the model for changing the area of paddy fields for the 2000-2020 period and determine the direction of sustainable agricultural policies. In defining the paddy field change model, this research uses the input data from the interpretation of 2000 Landsat 5 imagery, 2010 Landsat 7 imagery, and 2020 Landsat Oli 8 imagery. The data were analyzed using a geographic information system (GIS). This research employed the Powersim Software with a system dynamics approach in projecting rice production and demand. This research used Interpretative Structural Modeling (ISM) analysis to determine the direction of sustainable food policy. The results showed that there had been a conversion of 13,801.6 hectares of paddy agricultural land into a built-up area in the 2000-2020 period in Solok District. In 2020, Solok District supplied 2,838 thousand tons of rice, while the demand for rice was 446.3 thousand tons. In the direction of the sustainable agriculture policy, there are three key sub-elements; tightening land use permits, establishing and implementing spatial planning regulations, and consistency in enforcing spatial planning violation laws.References
Azadi, H., Keramati, P., Taheri, F., Rafiaani, P., Teklemariam, D., Gebrehiwot, K., Hosseininia, G., Van Passel, S., Lebailly, P. and Witlox, F. 2018. Agricultural land conversion: Reviewing drought impacts and coping strategies. International Journal of Disaster Risk Reduction 31:184-195. doi:10.1016/j.ijdrr.2018.05.003
Berd, I., Ekaputra, E.G., Yanti, D. and Stiyanto, E. 2022. The use of NDVI algorithm in predicting the productivity of rice fields of Talang District of Solok District. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 1059(1), doi:10.1088/1755-1315/ 1059/1/012004.
Bless, A.E., Colin, F., Crabit, A., Devaux, N., Philippon, O. and Follain, S. 2018. Landscape evolution and agricultural land salinization in coastal area: A conceptual model. Science of the Total Environment 625:647-656, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2017.12.083.
BPS West Sumatra.2021. West Sumatera in Figure. BPS Sumbar (in Indonesian).
Chen, H., Meng, F., Yu, Z. and Tan, Y. 2022. Spatial–temporal characteristics and influencing factors of farmland expansion in different agricultural regions of Heilongjiang Province, China. Land Use Policy 115:106007, doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2022.106007.
Dewata, I. and Umar, I. 2019. Management of flood hazard areas in Pasaman River basin of West Pasaman Regency West Sumatra Province. International Journal of GEOMATE 17:230-237, doi:10.21660/2019.64.64420.
Fathonah, F.I. and Mashilal, M. 2021. Rice production analysis in reflecting rice self-sufficiency in Indonesia. E3S Web of Conferences 316:02041, 2nd International Conference on Agribusiness and Rural Development (IConARD 2021), doi:10.1051/e3sconf/202131602041.
Feng, L., Zhang, M., Li, Y. and Jiang, Y. 2020. Satisfaction principle or efficiency principle? Decision-making behavior of peasant households in China’s rural land market. Land Use Policy 99:104943, doi:10.1016/j.landusepol.2020.104943.
Gero, A.A. and Aklesso Egbendewe, A.Y.G. 2020. Macroeconomic effects of semi-subsistence agricultural productivity growth: evidence from Benin and extension to the WAEMU Countries. Scientific African 7, doi:10.1016/j.sciaf.2019.e00222.
Hasan, M.H., Newton, I.H., Chowdhury, M.A., Esha, A A., Razzaque, S. and Hossain, M.J. 2023. Land use land cover change and related drivers have livelihood consequences in coastal Bangladesh. Earth Systems and Environment 1-19, doi:10.1007/s41748-023-00339-z.
Huang, Q., Liu, Z., He, C., Gou, S., Bai, Y., Wang, Y. and Shen, M. 2020. The occupation of cropland by global urban expansion from 1992 to 2016 and its implications. Environmental Research Letters 15(8), doi:10.1088/1748-9326/ab858c.
Keesstra, S., Mol, G., De Leeuw, J., Okx, J., De Cleen, M. and Visser, S. 2018. Soil-related sustainable development goals: Four concepts to make land degradation neutrality and restoration work. Land 7(4):133, doi:10.3390/land7040133.
Krishnamoorthy, N., Prasad, L.N., Kumar, C.P., Subedi, B., Abraha, H.B. and Sathishkumar, V.E. 202). Rice leaf diseases prediction using deep neural networks with transfer learning. Environmental Research 198:111275, doi:10.1016/j.envres.2021.111275.
Lark, T.J., Salmon, J.M. and Gibbs, H.K. 2015. Cropland expansion outpaces agricultural and biofuel policies in the United States. Environmental Research Letters 10(4):044003, doi:10.1088/1748-9326/10/4/044003.
Liu, J., Jin, X., Xu, W., Gu, Z., Yang, X., Ren, J., Fan, Y. and Zhou, Y. 2020. A new framework of land use efficiency for the coordination among food, economy and ecology in regional development. Science of the Total Environment 710:135670, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.135670.
Mahbubi, A. 2013. A dynamic model of a sustainable rice supply chain. Jurnal Manajemen dan Agribisnis 10 (2):81-89 (in Indonesian).
Marimin. 2004. Multiple Criteria Decision Making Techniques and Applications. Publisher Gramedia Widiasarana Indonesia, Jakarta (in Indonesian).
Marques, A., Martins, I.S., Kastner, T., Plutzar, C., Theurl, M.C., Eisenmenger, N., Huijbregts, M.A.J., Wood, R., Stadler, K., Bruckner, M., Canelas, J., Hilbers, J.P., Tukker, A., Erb, K. and Pereira, H. M. 2019. Increasing impacts of land use on biodiversity and carbon sequestration driven by population and economic growth. Nature Ecology and Evolution 3(4):628-637, doi:10.1038/s41559-019-0824-3.
Mubarokah, N., Rachman, L.M. and Tarigan, S.D. 2020. Analysis of the carrying capacity of agricultural land for food crops in the Cibaliung watershed, Banten Province. Jurnal Ilmu Pertanian Indonesia 25(1):73-80, doi:10.18343/jipi.25.1.73.
National BPS.2021. Statistics of Indonesia. Jakarta, BPS (in Indonesian).
Nguyen, T.T., Hegedűs, G. and Nguyen, T.L. 2019. Effect of land acquisition and compensation on the livelihoods of people in Quang Ninh District, Quang Binh Province: Labor and income. Land 8(6):91, doi:10.3390/land8060091.
Nurmegawati, Yartiwi, Siagian, I.C., Yesmawati, Yuliasari, S. and Sastro, Y. 2021. The land suitability evaluation of upland rice in the low dryland of Bengkulu Province. IOP Conference Series: Earth and Environmental Science 807(3), doi:10.1088/1755-1315/807/3/032091.
Nurpita A., Wiastuti, L. and Andjani, I.Y. 2018. The impact of land conversion on the food security of farming households in Temon District, Kulon Progo Regency. Jurnal Gema Societa 1(1):103-110, doi:10.22146/jgs.34055 (in Indonesian).
Pham Thi, N., Kappas, M. and Faust, H. 2021. Impacts of agricultural land acquisition for urbanization on agricultural activities of affected households: a case study in Huong Thuy Town, Thua Thien Hue Province, Vietnam. Sustainability 13(15):8559, doi:10.3390/su13158559.
Purwandoko, P.B., Seminar, K.B., Sutrisno., Sugiyanta. 2022. Functional requirements analysis and traceability information modeling in the rice supply chain: West Java case study. Jurnal Pangan 31(1):1-12, doi: 10.33964/jp.v31i1.557 (in Indonesian).
Rustiadi, E., Pravitasari, A.E., Setiawan, Y., Mulya, S.P., Pribadi, D.O. and Tsutsumida, N. 2021. Impact of continuous Jakarta megacity urban expansion on the formation of the Jakarta-Bandung conurbation over the rice farm regions. Cities 111:103000, doi:10.1016/j.cities.2020.10300
Sabila S. 2020. Food carrying capacity in supporting food availability in South Sumatra Province. Jurnal Tanah dan Sumberdaya Lahan 7(1):59-68, doi:10.21776/ub.jtsl.2020.007.1.8 (in Indonesian).
Santoso. P.B.K., Widiatmaka, Sabiham, S., Machfud, and Rusastra, I.W. 2017. Analysis of the pattern of conversion of paddy fields and the structure of the relationship between causes and prevention, a case study in Subang Regency, West Java Province. Jurnal Pengelolaan Sumberdaya Alam dan Lingkungan 7(2):184-194, doi:10.29244/jpsl.7.2.184-194 (in Indonesian).
Satria J., Falatehan, A.F. and Baik, I.S. 2018. Strategy for protecting sustainable food agricultural land in Bogor Regency. Jurnal Manajemen Pembangunan Daerah 10(2):48-59, doi:10.29244/jurnal_mpd.v10i2.27786 (in Indonesian).
Smith, L.E.D. and Siciliano, G. 2015. A comprehensive review of constraints to improved management of fertilizers in China and mitigation of diffuse water pollution from agriculture. Agriculture, Ecosystems and Environment 209:15-25, doi:10.1016/j.agee.2015.02.016.
Smith, P., Calvin, K., Nkem, J., Campbell, D., Cherubini, F., Grassi, G., ... and Arneth, A. 2020. Which practices coâ€deliver food security, climate change mitigation and adaptation, and combat land degradation and desertification?. Global Change Biology 26(3):1532-1575, doi:10.1111/gcb.14878.
Truelove, H.B., Carrico, A.R. and Thabrew, L. 2015. A socio-psychological model for analyzing climate change adaptation: A case study of Sri Lankan paddy farmers. Global Environmental Change 31:85-97, doi:10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2014.12.010.
Umar, I., Widiatmaka, Pramudya, B. and Barus, B. 2017. Priority for development of residential areas in flood-prone areas in Padang City, West Sumatra Province. Majalah Ilmiah Globe 19(1):83-94, doi:10.24895/MIG.2017.19-1.537 (in Indonesian).
Widowaty, Y. and Wahid, D.A. 2021. Law enforcement of land transfer from agricultural land to housing in Indonesia. E3S Web of Conferences 232:04008. EDP Sciences.
Zhang, L., Pang, J., Chen, X. and Lu, Z. 2019. Carbon emissions, energy consumption and economic growth: Evidence from the agricultural sector of China's main grain-producing areas. Science of the Total Environment 665:1017-1025, doi:10.1016/j.scitotenv.2019.02.162.
Downloads
Submitted
Accepted
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Submission of a manuscript implies: that the work described has not been published before (except in the form of an abstract or as part of a published lecture, or thesis) that it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere; that if and when the manuscript is accepted for publication, the authors agree to automatic transfer of the copyright to the publisher.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Scientific Journal by Eko Handayanto is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at https://ub.ac.id.
Permissions beyond the scope of this license may be available at https://ircmedmind.ub.ac.id/.