Geospatial assessment of landslide susceptibility in Astor District, Northern Pakistan

Authors

  • Irshad Ali Zardari State Key Laboratory of Mountain Hazards and Engineering Resilience, Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610299, China https://orcid.org/0009-0004-2235-8481
  • Surih Sibaghatullah Jagirani University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
  • Ningsheng Chen Hubei Engineering Center of Unconventional Petroleum Geology and Engineering, Yangtze University, Wuhan 430100, China
  • Guisheng Hu State Key Laboratory of Mountain Hazards and Engineering Resilience, Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610299, China
  • Mir Mujtaba Laghari China-Pakistan Joint Research Center on Earth Sciences, CAS-HEC, Islamabad 45320, Pakistan
  • Azhar Ali Zardari Department of Environment Engineering, Quaid E Awam University of Engineering, Science and Technology, Nawabshah 67450, Sindh, Pakistan
  • Nyirandayisabye Ritha State Key Laboratory of Mountain Hazards and Engineering Resilience, Institute of Mountain Hazards and Environment, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Chengdu 610299, China https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1824-8923

DOI:

https://doi.org/10.15243/jdmlm.2025.124.8083

Keywords:

analytical hierarchy , frequency ratio, landslide inventory, PS-InSAR, susceptibility

Abstract

Northern Pakistan is a rough, mountainous region with high gradients, disintegrated lithology, glaciers on the highest peaks, and a seismically active area. District Astor is among the most susceptible locations, with yearly landslides due to various causes. This research has developed a comprehensive landslide inventory and a susceptibility model for the chosen region. Frequency Ratio is the most generally utilized probabilistic method; a moderately Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP). The Frequency Ratio (FR) model technique has been used to ascertain the connection between both variables that cause landslides and landslides that have been mapped. A persistent Scattered Interferometry Radar (InSAR) technique was employed to investigate deformation movement in the vulnerable zones of the extracted models, finding a high Line-of-Sight (LOS) displacement velocity in both models' extremely sensitive areas. The derived Landslide Susceptibility Index (LSI) models had a prediction accuracy of 84.4% and 78.0% for the FR and AHP methods, respectively, calculated by applying the Area Under Curve (AUC) derived from the Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) approach. Finally, five susceptibility classes were assigned to both Landslide hazard index maps. Because the research region is prone to landslides, these susceptible models will be useful in delineating hazardous zones for future landslide catastrophes and utilized in decision-makers' planning strategies for Development initiatives in the studied region.

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Submitted

19-04-2025

Accepted

12-05-2025

Published

01-07-2025

How to Cite

Zardari, I. A., Jagirani, S. S., Chen, N., Hu, G., Laghari, M. M., Zardari, A. A., & Ritha, N. (2025). Geospatial assessment of landslide susceptibility in Astor District, Northern Pakistan. Journal of Degraded and Mining Lands Management, 12(4), 8083–8095. https://doi.org/10.15243/jdmlm.2025.124.8083

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Section

Research Article