Land-use land cover changes and their relationship with population and climate in Western Uganda
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15243/jdmlm.2024.114.6201Keywords:
climate change, LULCCs, population growth, UgandaAbstract
Sustainable management of land and its ecosystem requires well-documented Land-use and Land Cover changes (LULCCs) that have occurred over time. The objective of this study was to document the LULCCs, determine their relationship with climate and population changes in Western Uganda, and provide evidence to support decision-making in this region. This study utilized satellite images for the years 1992, 2000, 2010, and 2020 obtained from the European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative (ESA CCI), Climatic data from NASA, and Population Data from the Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBoS). LULCCs and their influencers were characterized in the region, for the period 1992 to 2020. ArcGIS Pro Software Program was used to Filter time series data using Definition Query, while the scatterplot was employed to determine the relationship between changes in climate and population on LULCCs. Results indicate that LULC is dominated by agriculture, covering (66.46%), followed by forests (16.22%), waterbodies (8.0%), grassland, shrubland, wetland, and urban areas at (6.11%), (2.63%), (0.49%) and (0.1%) respectively. From 1992 to 2020, the area under agriculture, forest and urban increased by 0.1%, 0.1%, and 0.08%, respectively, while Grassland, wetland, and shrubland declined by (0.22%), (0.05%), and (0.01%) respectively. LULCCs for areas under wetland, grassland, and urban areas have a stronger relationship with precipitation and population growth. This information can be used by the decision-makers at the local, district, and national levels to better guide land-use practices aimed at sustainable land-use management for the current and future generations.
References
Abdurahman, A., Yirsaw, E., Nigussie, W. and Hundera, K. 2023. Past and future land-use/land-cover change trends and their potential drivers in Koore's agricultural landscape, Southern Ethiopia. Geocarto International 38(1). https://doi.org/10.1080/10106049.2023.2229952
Akello, S., Turyahabwe, N., Okullo, P. and Agea, J.G. 2016. Land-use/cover change and perceived watershed status in Eastern Uganda. African Journal of Environmental Science and Technology 10(11):406-414. https://doi.org/10.5897/AJEST2016.2136
Bernard, B., Anthony, E., Patrick, O. and Fridah, M. 2010. Dynamics of land-use/cover trends in Kanungu district, South-western Uganda. Journal of Applied Sciences and Environmental Management 14(4). https://doi.org/10.4314/jasem.v14i4.63260
Bremer, L.L., Elshall, A.S., Wada, C.A., Brewington, L., Delevaux, J.M.S., El-Kadi, A.I., Voss, C.I. and Burnett, K.M. 2021. Effects of land-cover and watershed protection futures on sustainable groundwater management in a heavily utilized aquifer in Hawai (USA). Hydrogeology Journal 29(5). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10040-021-02310-6
Bunyangha, J., Majaliwa, M.J., Muthumbi, A.W., Gichuki, N.N. and Egeru, A. 2021. Past and future land-use/land cover changes from multi-temporal Landsat imagery in Mpologoma catchment, eastern Uganda. The Egyptian Journal of Remote Sensing and Space Science 24(3):675-685. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrs.2021.02.003
Buyinza, M. and Mugagga, F. 2010. Economics of land degradation in mid-hills of Mt. Elgon watershed, eastern Uganda. Seed 84(30):115.
CIAT. 1999. Uganda Agroecological Zones: A Spatial Database for Agricultural Development Planning. Retrieved from http://ciat-library.ciat.cgiar.org/articulos_ciat/1999-Uganda_agroecological.pdf.
Cooper, R. 2018. Current and Projected Impacts of Renewable Natural Resources Degradation on Economic Development in Uganda, K4D Emerging Issues Report. Brighton, UK: Institute of Development Studies. https://opendocs.ids.ac.uk/opendocs/handle/20.500.12413/13832
European Space Agency Climate Change Initiative 2022. ESA CCI Land Cover User Guide Version 2.0. Retrieved from https://maps.elie.ucl.ac.be/CCI/viewer/download/ESACCI-LC-Ph2-PUGv2_2.0.pdf
FAO. 2021. The smallholder farmers of Uganda. Retrieved from: https://mailchi.mp/resiliencefoodstories/new-stories-on-the-website-12361358?e=9c3f1be001
Gillespie, M.A.K., Baude, M., Biesmeijer, J., Boatman, N., Budge, G.E., Crowe, A., Davies, N., Evans, R., Memmott, J., Morton, R.D., Wood, C. and Kunin, W.E. 2022. Landscape-scale drivers of pollinator communities may depend on land-use configuration. Philosophical Transactions of the Royal Society B: Biological Sciences 377(1853). https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2021.0172
Government of Uganda Report (GoU). 2016. Uganda Uganda Wetlands Atlas Volume Two. https://www.mwe.go.ug/sites/default/files/Uganda%20Wetlands%20Atlas%20Volume%20II_Popular%20Version.pdf
Kiggundu, N., Anaba, L.A., Banadda, N., Wanyama, J. and Kabenge, I. 2018. Assessing land-use and land cover changes in the Murchison Bay Catchment of Lake Victoria Basin in Uganda. Journal of Sustainable Development 11(1):44-59. https://doi.org/10.5539/jsd.v11n1p44
Kizza, C.L., Tenywa, M.M., Majaliwa, J.G.M., Kansiime, F., Magunda, M., Nakileza, B., Barasa, B., Gabiri, G., Sebuliba, E. and Nampijja, J. 2017. Land-use/cover change patterns in highland ecosystems of Lake Bunyonyi Catchment in western Uganda. African Crop Science Journal 25(1):43. https://doi.org/10.4314/acsj.v25i1.4S
Leal Filho, W., Azeiteiro, U.M. and Setti, A.F.F. 2021. Challenges in Sustainable Land-use Management. In Sustainability in Natural Resources Management and Land Planning (pp. 553-556). Cham: Springer International Publishing. https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-76624-5
Li, L., Zha, Y., and Wang, R. 2020. Relationship of surface urban heat island with air temperature and precipitation in global large cities. Ecological Indicators 117:106683. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolind.2021.107621
Lunyolo, L.D., Khalifa, M. and Ribbe, L. 2021. Assessing the interaction of land cover/land-use dynamics, climate extremes and food systems in Uganda. Science of the Total Environment 753:142549. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.142549
Luwa, J.K., Bamutaze, Y., Mwanjalolo, J.G.M., Waiswa, D., Pilesjö, P. and Mukengere, E.B. 2021. Impacts of land-use and land cover change in response to different driving forces in Uganda: evidence from a review. African Geographical Review 40(4):378-394. https://doi.org/10.1080/19376812.2020.1832547
Mandal, J., Ghosh, N. and Mukhopadhyay, A. 2019. Urban growth dynamics, and changing land-use land-cover of megacity Kolkata and its environs. Journal of the Indian Society of Remote Sensing 47:1707-1725. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12524-019-01020-7
Mawa, C., Babweteera, F. and Tumusiime, D.M. 2022. Conservation outcomes of collaborative forest management in a medium altitude semideciduous forest in Mid-western Uganda. Journal of Sustainable Forestry 41(3-5):461-480. https://doi.org/10.1080/10549811.2020.1841006
Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries (MAAIF). (2018). National Adaptation Plan for the Agricultural Sector. https://www.agriculture.go.ug/wp-content/uploads/2019/09/National-Adaptation-Plan-for-the-Agriculture-Sector-1.pdf
Ministry of Agriculture, Animal Industry and Fisheries. 2020. Agriculture sector implementation status of the NRM manifesto 2016-2021 commitments. https://www.agriculture.go.ug/wp-content/uploads/2020/05/NRM-MANIFESTO-STATUS-MAY-2020-MAAIF-1.pdf
Ministry of Water and Environment. 2022. Uganda Wetlands Atlas volume II: popular version. Retrieved from https://www.mwe.go.ug/sites/default/files/Uganda%20Wetlands%20Atlas%20Volume%20II_Popular%20Version.pdf
Mulinde, C., Majaliwa, J.M., Twinomuhangi, R., Mfitumukiza, D., Waiswa, D., Tumwine, F. and Mukasa, D. 2022. Projected climate in coffee-based farming systems: implications for crop suitability in Uganda. Regional Environmental Change 22(3):83. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-022-01930-2
Muwanga, S., Onwonga, R.N., Keya, S.O. and Komutunga, E. 2020. Influence of agro-pastoral activities on land-use and land cover change in Karamoja, Uganda. Journal of Agricultural Science 12(9):266. https://doi.org/10.5539/jas.v12n9p266
Mwanjalolo, M.G.J., Bernard, B., Paul, M.I., Joshua, W., Sophie, K., Cotilda, N., Bob, N., John, D., Edward, S. and Barbara, N. 2018. Assessing the extent of historical, current, and future land-use systems in Uganda. Land 7(4). https://doi.org/10.3390/land7040132
National Aeronautics and Space Administration (NASA) Langley Research Center (LaRC). 2020. Prediction of Worldwide Energy Resource (POWER) Project. Data Access Viewer (DAV). Retrieved from https://power.larc.nasa.gov/data-access-viewer/1.
National Environment Management Authority. 2014. National State of Environment Report for Uganda 2014. Retrieved from https://nema.go.ug/sites/all/themes/nema/docs/FINAL%20NSOER%202014.pdf.
National Planning Authority, 2020.Third National Development Plan NDPIII 2020/21-2024/25 document: http://www.npa.go.ug/wpcontent/uploads/2020/08/NDPIII-Finale_Compressed.pdf.
Ngoma, H., Wen, W., Ojara, M. and Ayugi, B. 2021. Assessing current and future spatiotemporal precipitation variability and trends over Uganda, East Africa, based on CHIRPS and regional climate model datasets. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics 133(3):823-843. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00703-021-00784-3
Nuwagaba, I. and Lukamba-Muhiya, T. 2021. The impact of the oil and gas exploitation projects on the environment in Western Uganda. African Renaissance 2021(si1):199-216. https://doi.org/10.31920/2516-5305/v2021sin1a10
Ogwang, B.A. and Ojara, M. 2022. The State of Climate of Uganda in 2021. www.unma.go.ug.
Olorunfemi, I.E., Olufayo, A.A., Fasinmirin, J.T. and Komolafe, A.A. 2022. Dynamics of land-use land cover and its impact on carbon stocks in Sub-Saharan Africa: an overview. Environment, Development and Sustainability 24(1). https://doi.org/10.1007/s10668-021-01484-z
Omeno, M.O., Yu, Y., Fan, W., Lubalega, T., Chen, C. and Kaiko, C.K.S. 2021. Analysis of the impact of land-use/land-cover change on land-surface temperature in the villages within the luki biosphere reserve. Sustainability (Switzerland) 13(20):11242. https://doi.org/10.3390/su132011242
Onyutha, C., Turyahabwe, C. and Kaweesa, P. 2021. Impacts of climate variability and changing land-use/land cover on River Mpanga flows in Uganda, East Africa. Environmental Challenges 5. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.envc.2021.100273
Ronald, M.A. 2022. An assessment of economic and environmental impacts of refugees in Nakivale, Uganda. Migration and Development 11(3):433-449. https://doi.org/10.1080/21632324.2020.1787105
Tan, J., Yu, D., Li, Q., Tan, X. and Zhou, W. 2020. Spatial relationship between land-use/land-cover change and land surface temperature in the Dongting Lake area, China. Scientific Reports 10(1):9245. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-020-66168-6
Twongyirwe, R., Fisher, E., Karungi, C. and Ndugu, N. 2022. Projected land-use change in an oil-rich landscape in Uganda: A participatory modelling approach. The Extractive Industries and Society 10:101071. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.exis.2022.101071
Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBoS). 2020. Annual agricultural survey 2018: statistical release. https://www.ubos.org/wpcontent/uploads/publications/Annual%20Agricultural%20Survey%202018%20Statistical%20Release%20May%202020.pdf.
Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBoS). 2022. Population and Censuses. https://www.ubos.org/?pagename=explore-publications&p_id=20.
Uganda Bureau Of Statistics. 2021. Uganda Bureau of Statistics (UBoS) 2021 Statistical Abstract. www.ubos.org.
World Bank. 2019. Climate-smart agriculture in Uganda. https://climateknowledgeportal.worldbank.org/sites/default/files/2019-06/UGANDA_CSA_Profile.pdf
World Bank. 2021. Uganda economic update, 17th edition, June 2021: From crisis to green resilient growth - Investing in sustainable land management and climate-smart agriculture. https://openknowledge.worldbank.org/handle/10986/35689?locale-attribute=en
World Bank. 2021. Uganda economic update: Uganda can achieve greener, resilient, and inclusive growth by investing in sustainable land management and climate-smart agriculture. https://www.worldbank.org/en/country/uganda/publication/uganda-economic-update-uganda-can-achieve-greener-resilient-and-inclusive-growth-by-investing-in-sustainable-land-manage
World Population Prospects. 2017. World Population Prospects The 2017 Revision (The 2017 Revision, Key Findings and Advance Tables. (Working Paper No. ESA/P/WP/24). https://esa.un.org/unpd/wpp/publications/Files/WPP2017_KeyFindings.pdf.
Xie, H., Zhang, Y., Zeng, X. and He, Y. 2020. Sustainable land-use and management research: a scientometric review. Landscape Ecology 35:2381-2411. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10980-020-01002-y
Downloads
Submitted
Accepted
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2024 Journal of Degraded and Mining Lands Management
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Submission of a manuscript implies: that the work described has not been published before (except in the form of an abstract or as part of a published lecture, or thesis) that it is not under consideration for publication elsewhere; that if and when the manuscript is accepted for publication, the authors agree to automatic transfer of the copyright to the publisher.
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial 4.0 International License.
Scientific Journal by Eko Handayanto is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License.
Based on a work at https://ub.ac.id.
Permissions beyond the scope of this license may be available at https://ircmedmind.ub.ac.id/.